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Do Bank Statements Matter in Lending? Business Lenders and Consumer Lenders Disagree

July 16, 2015
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Bank statements. Those in consumer lending argue they’re all but irrelevant because FICO and credit reports do the job of predicting risk just fine, but over in today’s small business lending environment, there’s an entirely different sentiment; Reveal your recent banking history or be declined.

After having bought nearly $60,000 worth of consumer notes on Lending Club and Prosper combined, there’s something I’ve seen a lot of, bounced ACHs.

NSF Notice

brokeLending Club doesn’t reveal borrower bank data to their investors. Sure, anyone can see the credit report, the income level, zip code, and job title, but the borrower could have negative $10,000 in the bank and be living off overdraft protection on day 1 and an investor would never know it.

For all the fanfare surrounding online marketplace consumer lending, access to borrower banking history is oddly absent.

“Welcome to consumer lending, where the rules are different because the game is too,” replied a user to my comment on a peer-to-peer lending forum.

Veteran consumer lenders assumed I was a lost newbie who knew nothing about lending. “I have a feeling if you ask to crawl someone’s bank account, they’ll just go elsewhere,” one user said. “Seems that’d only work on subprime borrowers who have limited bargaining power.”

“I’m assuming you may be new to lending,” he continued. “Making a loan based on deposit balances is rarely a good idea.”

My initial question to them was that without bank statements, how could they ascertain if a borrower’s finances were actually in order at least at the time the loan was issued? It’s really easy to access someone’s banking history for the last 90 days by using common tools like Yodlee or Microbilt, I argued.

“MAKING A LOAN BASED ON DEPOSIT BALANCES IS RARELY A GOOD IDEA,” A USER COMMENTED

Some people sympathized with my logic but others believed requesting bank data would be suicide in today’s competitive environment. And still more wondered if there might be consumer protection laws that prevented lenders from seeing a loan applicant’s banking records (which sounded ridiculous).

A Credit Card Issuer’s Take

Those questions led me to interview an underwriting manager at one of the nation’s largest credit card issuers who would only speak on the condition of total anonymity, including the bank’s name. There, he oversees a department of people that manually assess credit card applicants. There is no algorithmic approval process. In his department, humans underwrite each application, conduct phone interviews with the prospective borrowers, and request additional documents if they feel it’s warranted.

Requesting bank statements is a regular part of the job, explained the manager. “We require proof of income for any line over 25k,” he added. “It’s the main thing we ask for along with proof of address.”

No money in the bankRequesting these documents keeps them compliant with the Bank Secrecy Act, he explained, but the bank statements in particular are their first choice in verifying somebody’s income, even more than pay stubs. And their underwriters aren’t oblivious zombies, he noted. If an applicant has no money in the bank, they’ll decline it.

“The Adverse Action reason [for that] would be ‘sufficiently obligated’,” he stated. “That’s when their bank account shows they can not take on any additional financial obligations.”

The manager shared however that he believed there is a very strong correlation between what’s on the credit report and what to expect in the bank statements. Generally speaking, good credit will show a healthy banking situation, he explained. They’re rarely taken by surprise. Overall, the credit reports and phone interviews are enough for them to feel comfortable and the bank statements are really just there to check off a compliance box.

Meanwhile, those that speculated requesting bank data would be a death knell competitively might want to talk to Kabbage’s sister company, Karrot. Karrot already crawls bank accounts as part of their consumer loan application program and competes with Lending Club, Prosper, and Avant. Considering Kabbage has funded more than half a billion dollars worth of business loans using this very methodology, it’s safe to say that applicants aren’t flocking to competitors in droves over the perceived injustice or inconvenience of filling out three additional fields on a web application to share their transaction history.

Bounced Payments

Kabbage CEO Rob Frohwein offered these comments last year about their underwriting, “A critical aspect of consumer lending is determining the appropriate amount of a payment to collect so that an account doesn’t become overdrawn. Our intelligence accurately predicts how much of a payment to request via ACH so consumers avoid the cost and headache associated with non-sufficient funds.”

I thought about those statements when I noticed that thirty-six of my Lending Club notes carried a Grace Period status the other day. These are borrowers whose payments just recently bounced. Some are only three or four months into a five-year loan. Worse, there are those that are saying they have no money whatsoever to make a payment. How can this be when they just practically got approved?

broke lending club borrower

To the consumer crowd it’s business as usual. “If you got their bank account, you still wouldn’t be able to predict who will default. You can’t predict defaults on any individual borrower,” argued one veteran on a forum.

But it’s not all about the lender’s tolerance for risk. ACH rejects can have consequences that affect a lender’s ability to debit accounts in the future.

“Ultimately, regulatory thresholds set by NACHA will continue to become more and more critical of returns,” said Moe Abusaad of ACH Processing Co, an ACH processor based in Plano, TX. “I think it’s safe to say that there is a positive correlation in considering statements as a component of the underwriting process to the rate of returns incurred,” he added.

And while it’s true that bank data can’t make predictions perfectly on its own, nobody in small business lending or merchant cash advance would consider an approval without it.

Bank Statements or Bust

“There is no substitute for banking information when reviewing a client for approval,” said Andrew Hernandez, a co-founder of Central Diligence Group, a risk management firm that allows business lenders and merchant cash advance companies to outsource their underwriting.

“Money moves fast through these businesses and every business is unique, so a lot more variables come into play than just having to account for the timely monthly payments of credit cards, cars, and mortgages as you find in the consumer world,” he added. “A FICO score along with other information presented in a credit report provide a detailed, historical snapshot of a client’s creditworthiness in consumer lending, and while these are great complementary tools for us to use in our underwriting process, I believe that banking data paints us a picture of its own which is absolutely essential in assessing the risk of a B2B transaction in our space.”

“THERE IS NO SUBSTITUTE FOR BANKING INFORMATION WHEN REVIEWING A CLIENT FOR APPROVAL”, HERNANDEZ SAID

Those underwriting business loan deals have reported seeing applicants with open personal loans from Lending Club, which shows that the exact same borrowers are being underwritten in two different ways.

But Julio Izaguirre, another co-founder of Central Diligence Group added that, “banking transactions are essential in gauging the cash flow of the business by looking at recent and up-to-date bank volume, but it is even more important with businesses that lack historical data and cannot provide financials or other documentation to show and prove their track record.”

Translation: A lack of credit history and formal financial statements can be overcome thanks to in-depth analysis of bank account data.

“When our underwriters look at a bank statement you can get a better understanding of the business cash flow, operational cost and how the owner manages his business,” said Heather Francis, CEO of Gainesville, FL-based Elevate Funding. “The credit score is like a person’s blood pressure reading,” she continued. “It indicates there may be an issue but until lab work is pulled and analyzed you don’t know what that issue is. The bank statement is that lab work and it can tell you more about the issues behind the scenes than a credit score can.”

Greg DeMinco, a Managing Partner of Americas Business Capital based in Cherry Hill, NJ would probably agree. “FICO isn’t everything,” he shared. “Bank statements can tell a great story especially if there is upward momentum month after month, and more importantly a high ratio of deposits to requests for the advance.”

“THE CREDIT SCORE IS LIKE A PERSON’S BLOOD PRESSURE READING”, EXPLAINED FRANCIS

Meanwhile, the manager of the credit card issuer was surprised to hear about the high value placed on bank statements in business lending. I offered him the example of an applicant with good credit that was consistently negative in the bank because of a reliance on overdraft protection as a way to make sure all the bills were being paid. “That’s the craziest thing I ever heard,” he commented.

But over in the peer-to-peer lending forum it didn’t sound so crazy at all. “Plenty of Americans are ‘broke’, in the sense that they have negative net worth, yet they’ll continue servicing their debts for… a long time… no matter what it takes,” shared one user.

The argument seems to come full circle, that business lending and consumer lending are just different.

But to Isaac Stern, the CEO of New York-based Yellowstone Capital, the bank statements are not just about financial health. “We are literally underwriting against fraud,” said Stern, who said his office regularly receives applications with doctored statements. “Logging in [to the banks] and verifying those statements are probably the most important part of the process,” he noted.

His logic goes that a consumer that is paid a salary has a predictable stream of income and so that information along with a credit report might be enough for a consumer lender, but business revenue is less predictable and can vary practically day-to-day.

“You can’t just look at a FICO score and say, ‘this is a good a business’,” Stern explained. “The story is in the bank statements.”

Year of the Broker

April 4, 2015
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This story appeared in AltFinanceDaily’s Mar/Apr 2015 magazine issue. To receive copies in print, SUBSCRIBE FREE

Year of the Broker | deBankedMany of the newcomers are fleeing hard times in the mortgage or payday loan businesses. Others are abandoning jobs selling insurance, car warranties or search-engine optimization.

“You have wandering souls trying to find their place in this industry, whether it be as a company or on their own,” said Amanda Kingsley, CEO of Sendto, a Florida-based company that assists new brokers.

Though exact counts appear difficult to obtain, Kingsley professed amazement at the volume of new entrants. “I’m swamped,” she said. “It’s crazy.”

Some of the new brokers discovered alternative financing in December, when OnDeck Capital’s initial public stock offering raised $200 million and valued the company at $1.3 billion. The Lending Club IPO that raised $1 billion the same month also raised public awareness of alternative loans.

Mesmerized with those whopping figures, salespeople from other businesses began committing themselves to a new career in alternative finance. In a business with virtually no barriers to entry, it’s easy to get started. To call themselves brokers, they just need a phone, someplace to sit and a list of leads they can buy online.

Virtually all of the entrants are pursuing dreams of lucrative paydays. Many even expect to make a fast buck with minimum effort.

If only it were that simple. Too often, the untutored new players are making mistakes simply because they don’t know any better, industry veterans maintained.

“A lot of people think you can just walk in and be successful,” said the sales manager of an established New York-based brokerage who asked for anonymity. “They don’t know what it takes to run a company. They don’t know what it takes to get a deal done.”

Worst of all – either unknowingly or with evil intent – new brokers are stacking deals. In other words, inexperienced salespeople pile second or third loans or advances on top of original positions. It’s an approach that clearly violates the industry’s standards, observers agreed.

In fact, virtually all contracts for a first loan or advance prohibit the merchant from taking on another similar obligation, noted Paul Rianda, an Irvine, Calif.-based attorney who specializes in payments and financing.

“I can’t remember one agreement I’ve seen that didn’t have that provision in it,” Rianda said.

Violating that stipulation could provide grounds for a lawsuit, and litigation is underway, according to David Goldin, president and CEO of New York-based AmeriMerchant and president of the North American Merchant Advance Association (NAMAA).

Bigger funders would sue smaller funders because the latter appear more likely to take on riskier, more problematic multiple-position deals, said Jared Weitz, CEO at United Capital Source LLC, a New York-based broker.

Plaintiffs have a case to make because stacking harms the broker and funder of the first position by increasing the risk that the merchant won’t meet the resulting financial obligations, Weitz said. “The guys going out 18 and 24 months to make this a more bankable product are being hurt by the people coming in and stacking those three-month high-rate loans,” he noted.

Deducting fees for more than one advance also impedes cash flow, adding another risk factor, Weitz said.

To further complicate matters, the company offering the second or even third deal sometimes moves the merchant’s transaction services to another processor, Rianda said. That forces the firms that made the first advance to approach the new processor to stake a claim to card receipts, he noted.

So the companies with the original deal suffer from the effects of stacking, but the practice’s shortcomings will haunt the stackers, too, observers maintained.

“It’s not a model that’s going to allow them to succeed,” a broker who asked to remain anonymous said of stackers’ long-term prospects.

Many hardly give a thought to staying power, according to Weitz. “A lot of people entering this space think it’s about fast money and not longevity,” he said.

Longevity requires that brokers build relationships with merchants, a process stacking undermines because too much credit can drive merchants out of business or merely prop up merchants already doomed to fail, sources said.


“A LOT OF PEOPLE ENTERING THIS SPACE THINK IT’S ABOUT FAST MONEY AND NOT LONGEVITY…”



Yet stacking has become so widespread that it constitutes a business plan for some brokerage shops, said a broker who asked that his name and company not appear in the article.

It can begin when brokers buy lists of Uniform Commercial Code filings to find out what merchants have already taken out term loans or advances, said Zach Ramirez, vice president of sales and operations at Orange, Calif.- based Core Financial Inc.

The brokers then contact those merchants, many of whom are already over-extended financially, to offer additional credit or advances, Ramirez said.

Inexperienced brokers often resort to stacking because they don’t know how to generate leads that can bring alternative lending vehicles to merchants who weren’t aware of them.

Referrals from accountants or other business owners who deal with merchants can provide some of those greenfield prospects, Ramirez noted.

business loan brokersAnd leads aren’t the only area of cluelessness among newcomers, a broker who requested anonymity maintained.

“They don’t know why a bank declines a deal or approves a deal,” he said. “They don’t know what’s the basis for a good deal.”

To teach new brokers those basics of alternative business financing, the industry should establish standard policies and technology, according to Kingsley.

A credential, perhaps something similar to the Certified Payments Professional designation created by the Electronic Transactions Association, sources said. To earn the credential, candidates would pass an exam to show they’ve mastered the basics of the business, they proposed.

NAMAA is considering such a credential, said Goldin, the trade group’s president. It’s the kind of self-regulation that could forestall federal oversight, industry sources agreed.

But that might not matter, according to Tom McGovern, a vice president at Cypress Associates LLC, a New York-based advisory firm that raises capital for alternative lenders and merchant cash advance companies.

After all, McGovern noted, Barney Frank, former Democratic U.S. representative from Massachusetts and co-author of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, has gone on record as saying that piece of legislation focuses on consumers and does not govern business-to-business dealings like loans or advances to merchants.

That lack of regulation over B2B deals seems likely to continue, “especially in the world we’re in now with a Republican Congress,” said a broker who asked to remain nameless.

However, some members of the industry would welcome federal regulation as a way of barring incompetent or unscrupulous brokers. An agency patterned after the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, know as FINRA, could do the job, suggested a broker who requested anonymity.

Whether a government regulator or an industry- supported association should police the market, problems could remain stubbornly in place, some said.

Many doubt an association could build the consensus required for united action on some issues – stacking in particular.

For one thing, cleaning up the business could reduce profits for brokerages that profit from stacking, noted a broker who asked that his name not appear in the article.

“Everybody wants to make money,” he said. “Everybody’s out for themselves.”

Another barrier to agreement arises because some brokerages fear cooperation could expose their trade secrets, said Sendto’s Kingsley.

Moreover, unscrupulous brokers want to keep their employees uninformed of the industry’s potential for big profits, Kingsley said. That way they suppress compensation for an underclass of prequalifiers who work the early stages of deals, she noted.

Prequalifiers earn from $150 to $500 a week, depending upon the location, and don’t qualify for benefits like health insurance, Kingsley said. Once they realize what a tiny portion of the profits they’re receiving, brokers terminate the prequalifiers and many go on to become brokers themselves, she observed.

Closers who take over from prequalifiers to wrap up the sale can earn up to 50% or occasionally even 60% of a brokerage house’s commission – if the closer originates the deal and sees it through to completion unassisted, Kingsley said.

Eventually, closers realize they could keep all of the commission if they strike out on their own and become brokers, she noted.

In a way, the progression from prequalifier to broker or closer represents a market correction. And many seasoned industry participants believe market forces will also work out other problems the influx of new brokers is causing.

A large number of the new brokers simply won’t last long because they don’t understand the industry, they’re stacking deals and they’re signing up merchants that won’t stay in business.

Meanwhile, funders are beginning to perform background checks on brokers to make sure they’re dealing with reputable people, sources said.

Some funders protect themselves by simply declining to do business with new brokers, according to observers.



“GUYS AT COMPANIES LIKE ONDECK AND CAN CAPITAL ARE ONLY TAKING BUSINESS FROM BIGGER BROKERS THAT HAVE HEAVY VOLUME,” WEITZ SAID.


And many new brokers are learning the industry with the help of experienced brokerages that act as mentors and conduits and call themselves super brokers, super ISOs, broker consultants or syndicators.

“So what I’m saying is, ‘Guys, let’s not compete. Let’s grow parallel together,’ ” Weitz said of United Capital Source’s relationships with new brokers. The company began working with new brokers in October 2014.

In such relationships new brokers get advice from the more seasoned brokers. The older brokers can also provide the newcomers with services that include accounting, marketing and reporting, he said.

New brokers can also benefit from the customer relationship management platform that United Capital Source developed, Weitz said.

The new brokers also capitalize on the older brokers’ relationships with funders. Established brokers have earned better rates and terms because of reputation and volume, Weitz noted. Companies like his also know which lenders work more quickly and thus capture more deals, he added.

Older brokers can also steer new brokers away from newer funders that offer shorter terms and demand higher rates, Weitz said. Of the 30 to 40 companies that call themselves funders, only eight or 10 deserve the name, he contended.

The less-respectable funders place only a small amount of money in a few deals, he said.

Newer brokers become aware of their need for help from more experienced brokers when they see how many sales they’re failing to close, Weitz said.

merchant cash advance brokersThe new brokers also come to realize that the puzzle of running a brokerage office has a lot more pieces than they may have thought, said Kingsley.

The percentage of the commission that the older broker charges can vary, according to Weitz.

“If someone needs a lot of hand holding and a lot more resources, they would get a different structure,” he said.

While Weitz said his company plans to acquire only about 10% of its volume through new brokers, Sendto specializes in helping newcomers. Sendto’s Kingsley described the company as “a turnkey solution that provides training and placement of deals. It’s for new brokers or sales offices that do not have what they need to be part of this industry.”

There’s room for entrants because not all merchants know about alternative business financing, said McGovern.

The market can even seem like it doesn’t have enough brokers in the estimation of experienced players skillful enough to find the many merchants who haven’t been introduced to the industry, said Ramirez of Core Financial.

And the big banks don’t really want the business because the deals aren’t big enough to interest them, McGovern said.

But the potential profits look promising to outsiders disillusioned with sales jobs in other industries.

Some experienced brokers even prefer to hire salespeople from outside the alternative financing industry, noted Kingsley. That way, they avoid employees who have picked up bad habits at other brokerage houses, she said.

Long-time members of the industry sometimes enjoy belittling new entrants who can seem clueless about the business they’re trying to master, noted Ramirez of Core Financial. But he recalled the time not so long ago that he himself had a lot to learn.

And regardless of how unsophisticated they may seem, new players have a role, McGovern said.

“They are performing a service,” he maintained. “They’re like the missionaries of the industry going out to untapped areas of the market – of which there are many – and drumming up business.”

To Kingsley, brokers in general – old and new – are beginning to earn the respect they deserve.

“A lot of people are afraid of the word ‘broker,’ ” she said. “I feel that 2015 is the year of the broker, and people should embrace what a broker can actually do. It’s a great thing.”

This article is from AltFinanceDaily’s March/April magazine issue. To receive copies in print, SUBSCRIBE FREE

Industry Leaders Tell All (Videos)

May 25, 2014
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A few weeks ago, I recapped my two days at the LendIt conference in San Francisco.

Peter Renton of Lend Academy, who hosted the conference, is putting up the professionally finished videos on his youtube channel. I’ve embedded the ones I think you’ll find most relevant, though I think there’s still one or two good ones that aren’t up yet.

As a side note, many of you in the merchant cash advance space have asked if LendIt was worth it. The answer is yes, but it is not a place to recruit ISOs. I actually don’t think there were any ISOs there at all. It was a good place to meet institutional investors, technology companies that cater to alternative lenders, leading industry attorneys, and the wild pack of peer-to-peer lenders. Basically, it was a way to hear and see everything outside of the bubble that can be merchant cash advance.

Next year it’s in New York City and I’ll definitely be attending again. And on that note, check out the full videos below:

Short Term Small Business Lending Panel

James Mendelsohn, CAN Capital/ Brendan Carrol, Victory Park/ Stephen Sheinbaum, Merchant Cash & Capital/ Rob Frowhein, Kabbage/ Brendan Ross, Direct Lending Investments


Small Business Term Lending Panel

Alex Tonelli, Funding Circle USA/ Tom Green, Lending Club/ Noah Breslow, OnDeck/ Gary Chodes, Raiseworks/ Ethan Senturia, Dealstruck/ Jacob Haar, CIM


Special Presentation by Sam Hodges of Funding Circle


Sophie Raseman of the U.S. Treasury offers support to alternative lenders


Online Lending Securitization Panel


Big Data in Credit Decisioning Panel

The End of an Era

September 19, 2012
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It’s the end of an era. Sound ominous for a blog that reports on the Merchant Cash Advance (MCA) industry? It shouldn’t. In the last 10 years, MCA firms played in the minor leagues. No one was really paying attention to them and truthfully, a lot of critics didn’t think this business model would still be around. But today it still stands, funders are still funding, and this blog is practically struggling to keep up with the incredible amount of action that is taking place. Coincidentally, 2012 marks the end of the Mayan Calendar. Yes, it’s the end of an era.

MCA Goes From 0 to 60
There were a few big firms in the Mid-2000s (RapidAdvance, Merchant Cash and Capital, Strategic Funding Source, AdvanceMe, etc.) and they’ve all experienced modest success. It was “modest” in the sense that it is nothing compared to today’s standards. The level of play is changing. Wining and dining an Independent Sales Office (ISO) that could bring in $300,000 a month in deal flow used to be all the rage. 300k for one company was 300k less for a competitor. An extra point of commission here or a freebie approval there was enough to make you the big dog in town, at least for awhile. Despite all the supposed innovation and growth, the talent pool remained the same. Lead generators became agents, agents became ISOs, ISOs became syndication partners, syndication partners became funders, and funders became technology companies that were basically clearing houses for groups of funders. If the industry was Sally, Joe, and Tom in 2005, it was still Sally, Joe, and Tom in early 2011, just with new company names or titles. Then everything changed…

Money poured in:
Merchant Cash and Capital Announces $25 Million in new financing 10/4/11
Snap Advances raises $3 Million from TAB bank 11/21/11
Capital Access Network raises $30 Million 2/7/12
RapidAdvance Receives new financing facility through Wells Fargo 4/2/12
1st Merchant Funding | $5 Million re-discount line of credit from TAB bank 6/12
Strategic Funding Source secures $27 million 6/27/12
On Deck Capital raises $100 Million 8/23/12
Kabbage raises $30 Million 9/17/12

Industry insiders loosely redefined what a Merchant Cash Advance was:
Merchant Cash Advance Redefined Merchant Processing Resource 3/25/12

Big companies entered the market:
American Express Announces Their Own Merchant Cash Advance Program 9/22/11
PayPal Pilots Merchant Cash Advance Program in the U.K. 7/13/12

Some funders became licensed lenders in major states such as California:
A New Chapter Opens for Merchant Cash Advance The Green Sheet 6/25/12
Search the California licensed lender registry

New products formed:
FundersCloud creates platform to raise capital and find syndicate partners faster 8/29/12
A charity announces a new way to make subsidized business loans using the split-funding method 9/6/12

These barely scratch the surface of industry events. What used to be a competition to score the local neighborhood ISO has morphed into a race to be the first to partner up with Facebook, twitter, Groupon, and Square. Anyone not moving full speed ahead to integrate technology and social media will be gone in the next 24 months.

May 18, 2012 was the first time we noticed and commented on what was happening. In How The Facebook IPO Affects the Merchant Cash Advance Industry, venture capitalists and Silicon Valley had finally found MCA and there’s no hiding from them. Now it seems all of our far-fetched predictions are not only coming true, they’re happening moments after we predict them. In our last article we instructed everyone to keep their eyes on Kabbage. Six days later they announced they had raised $30 million in new financing and would be expanding overseas. For a company that makes wild claims about the correlation of facebook fans with account performance, all while humorously being named after a boring vegetable, they sure seem perfectly able to threaten the status quo. Nobody dared touch Ebay or Amazon businesses until they came around.

Price
On the cost basis front, the middle ground is eroding even further. We first discussed this phenomenon on April 25, 2011 in The Fork in the Merchant Cash Advance Road. In it, we explained that the combination of competition and defaults were placing downward pressure and upward pressure on price at the same time. Today, there is surging demand for “starter deals” at 1.49 factors that are payable over 3 months at the same time that more and more new lenders are offering 1 year loans at 10%. The low rate, 12-18 month term deals are nothing new. A few funders tried them in the past and most suffered irrecoverable consequences. This is history that the new players didn’t witness.

Some outsiders view the MCA industry as a bunch of Wall Street guys that got fat, happy, and disincentivized to lower costs. On the contrary, one only needs to take a single look at this chart to realize that undercutting the entire market isn’t so genius after all. How can a funder survive with extremely low margins when 15% – 71% of their target market is likely to experience problems repaying their loans? These aren’t our stats, these are FICO’s:

Veteran industry insiders know this and acknowledge that the coming tide of low rate financing is a bubble that has burst before. On the DailyFunder, a few folks have offered this insight:

The mca/unsecured loan biz is very risky. It’s all fun and games till deals start going south. My guess is they either adjust rates to match defaults or go out of business. I know first hand that this is not a get rich quick business. It may look like it is from the outside but once you are inside you see the world differently pretty quickly.

[these new low rate deals are] just like On Deck did. When they first came out, they offered 12 month 1.09’s. Then it dropped to 6 month 1.12’s, then 1.18’s. Now you see 1.25’s to 1.35’s offered by them

Governance
On the other side of the cost war is potential federal regulation. At least one D.C. consulting firm is prodding the leaders of the MCA industry to take a proactive approach on self-governance. According to Magnolia Strategic Partners, MCA is on the radar of regulators and members of congress, especially in light of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. The new MCA playing field has invited media attention, and not all of it is positive.

The North American Merchant Advance Association is the only organization for industry cooperation but their ability to dictate policies and standards is weak. They receive very little press and their website has been down for weeks. Many argue that they have been effective in minimizing defaults by sharing data on fraudsters. While this does stand to serve the community, it is but a footnote in their orignal intended purpose.

New Barriers to Entry
For the first time ever, potential resellers are facing barriers to entry. Becoming an ISO has long been as simple as owning a phone and purchasing a list of businesses that have used MCA financing before. Today, it’s not that easy. These lists have been sold literally hundreds of times over and called tens of thousands of times over. Pay-Per-Click marketing is dominated by the million and billion dollar firms with money to burn. If John Doe ISO wants to advertise on Google, he better be prepared to compete with the likes of American Express and Wells Fargo. Good luck! Putting skin in the game has also become more of a prerequisite for ISOs to succeed. Funders want to know if a sales agent would put his or her own money into a deal… and then actually commit them to doing just that. The odds are becoming stacked against the undercapitalized and it isn’t likely to change.

In 2009, the most prevalent pitch used by sales agents was to inform prospects that they themselves were “a direct lender” and that anyone else the prospect might be talking to was a broker. “Cut out the middleman and go direct with us,” they’d convincingly argue. This line became less effective when prospects heard this from all five agents they spoke to. Name dropping strategic partnerships will be the new way to build credibility. “We’re partnered with Facebook, twitter, Groupon, and Square,” a sales agent will soon be saying. “Can our competitors make the same claims? Go with us.”

the end of merchant cash advanceSee You On the Other Side
2013 will kick off a single elimination tournament. Funders that didn’t realize 2012 was the end of an era will begin to fade. 2014 will eliminate the weaker firms that remain and by 2015, Merchant Cash Advance will no longer be a term that anyone uses. Big banks and billion dollar technology companies will go on to rebrand all that which the funding warriors of the last decade have worked so hard to establish. MCA will simply assimilate into other financial products. The metaphorical Sally, Joe, and Tom will probably still be in the business, but be working for companies like Capital One, Wells Fargo, and American Express. And as for us…well… we’re going to need something else to talk about. But we’ll keep you posted until that day. 🙂

– Merchant Processing Resource
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